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Apparatus and method for improved estimation of health resource consumption through use of diagnostic and/or procedure grouping and severity of illness indicators    
United States Patent5018067   
Link to this pagehttp://www.wikipatents.com/5018067.html
Inventor(s)Mohlenbrock; William C. (Del Mar, CA); Farley; Peter J. (Orinda, CA); Frye; Lawrence J. (Atherton, CA); Trummell, Jr.; Donald E. (Daly City, CA); Bostrom; Alan G. (San Francisco, CA)
AbstractThe likely consumption of health provider resources that are necessary to treat a particular medical patient are estimated within the framework of the existing Federal mandated system that uses Diagnostic Related Groups (DRG's) for setting the amount of payment that a hospital or other health provider will receive from the United States Government for that patient under the Medicare reimbursement system. The amount of payment is made from a calculation using the DRG system, regardless of the actual cost to the health provider. The Federal system results in a wide variation of health care costs occurring within each DRG, resulting from varying degrees of overall sickness among patients that are similarly classified. The present invention works within the DRG system and all of the sub-groups of DRG's including groups of diagnosis codes and individual diagnosis codes. Hidden information is extracted from the same input data that is used by the DRG system, in order to classify each patient into sub-categories of resource consumption, or other outcome variable, within a designated DRG or DRG sub-group. The invention is implemented by a general purpose computer system.
   














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Drawing from US Patent 5018067
Apparatus and method for improved estimation of health resource

     consumption through use of diagnostic and/or procedure grouping and

     severity of illness indicators - US Patent 5018067 Drawing
Apparatus and method for improved estimation of health resource consumption through use of diagnostic and/or procedure grouping and severity of illness indicators
Inventor     Mohlenbrock; William C. (Del Mar, CA); Farley; Peter J. (Orinda, CA); Frye; Lawrence J. (Atherton, CA); Trummell, Jr.; Donald E. (Daly City, CA); Bostrom; Alan G. (San Francisco, CA)
Owner/Assignee     Iameter Incorporated (San Mateo, CA)
Patent assignment
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Publication Date     May 21, 1991
Application Number     07/079,654
PAIR File History     Application Data   Transaction History
Image File Wrapper   Patent Term   Fees
Litigation
Filing Date     July 29, 1987
US Classification     600/300 128/920
Int'l Classification     G06F 015/21 G06F 015/42
Examiner     Atkinson; Charles E.
Assistant Examiner     Hayes; Gail O.
Attorney/Law Firm    
Address
Parent Case     CROSS-REFERENCE TO A RELATED APPLICATION This is a continuation-in-part of pending application Ser. No. 07/002,133, filed Jan. 12, 1987.
Priority Data    
USPTO Field of Search     364/414 364/415 364/413.02 364/413.01
Patent Tags     improved estimation health resource consumption through diagnostic procedure grouping and severity illness indicators
   
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It is claimed:

1. A method of monitoring the performance of a health provider in rendering medical services to a patient, comprising the steps of:

(1) predicting an outcome of treatment of the patient by the health provider by a method including the following steps executed on a computer:

converting into digital electronic signals input medical codes of at least a patient's principal diagnosis, any secondary diagnoses, any surgical procedures, sex and age,

identifying a few of an existing plurality of diagnostic and/or procedure groups of illnesses that are appropriate for either one of the surgical procedures signals or the principal diagnosis signals,

selecting from those few identified groups a single diagnostic or procedure group that is consistent with the signals of any secondary diagnoses and the patient's age and sex, and

calculating a sub-category within the single selected diagnostic or procedure group for predicting at least one outcome by a formula that mathematically combines various of the medical code input signals with constants unique to the single selected diagnostic or procedure group, the constants having been determined from a statistical analysis of a large amount of actual patient data within the single selected diagnostic or procedure group by use of the same formula;

(2) predicting from the calculated sub-category at least one outcome of patient treatment;

(3) comparing said predicted outcome with the actual outcome of patient treatment;

(4) monitoring the performance of health providers through use of said comparison; and

(5) providing counseling to said health provider if the performance level of the health provider falls below an established level.

2. A method of monitoring the performance of a health provider in rendering medical services to a patient, comprising the steps of:

(1) in a computer system having data of a medical patient that includes the patient's age, a numerical representation of the patient's sex, an ICD code of a principal diagnosis of the patient's condition, one or more ICD codes of secondary diagnosis of the patient's condition, and a DRG determined from the ICD codes in accordance with a Government grouper algorithm, a method of predicting by computer processing an outcome of treatment of the patient, comprising the steps of:

providing a computer static data base that includes a first table of DRG categories into which each of a plurality of ICD codes is mapped, and a second table of Government mandated weights of the individual DRG categories,

determining from the first table the DRG categories into which each of the ICD codes is mapped,

reading from the second table the weights of each of the determined DRG categories,

summing the read DRG weights, and

predicting an outcome of the patient treatment by use of the sum of the read DRG weights;

(2) comparing said predicted outcome with the actual outcome of patient treatment;

(3) monitoring the performance of health providers through use of said comparison; and

(4) providing counseling to said health provider if the performance level of the health provider falls below an established level.

3. A method according to claim 2 wherein the outcome predicting step includes estimating the length of hospital stay for the patient and classifying that stay length into one of a few categories within the DRG determined for the patent.

4. A method according to claim 2 wherein the method of predicting an outcome of treatment additionally comprises a step of counting the number of patient ICD diagnosis codes, and wherein the outcome calculation step includes use of said ICD code count in estimating the outcome.

5. A method according to claim 4 wherein, in the method of predicting an outcome of treatment, the computer system additionally includes one or more ICD codes of the procedures performed or to be performed on the patient, and wherein the outcome predicting method additionally comprises a step of counting the number of patient ICD procedure codes, and further wherein the outcome calculation step includes use of said ICD code count in predicting the outcome.

6. A method according to claim 5 wherein, in the method of predicting an outcome of treatment, the first table of the static data base also includes a MDC body system category into which each ICD code is mapped, and wherein the outcome estimating method additionally comprises a step of counting the number of MDC categories in which the patient ICD codes map, and further wherein the outcome calculation step includes the use of said MDC category count in predicting the outcome.

7. A method according to claim 2 wherein, in the method of predicting the outcome of treatment,

the first table of the static data base also includes an indication for the individual ICD codes whether each is on a Government list of ICD codes that can indicate the existence of a complication or co-morbidity, and, if so, also indicates a weight of severity of the condition indicated by each such ICD code,

said method additionally comprising the steps of reading the weight of the patient's ICD codes and summing those weights, and

further wherein the outcome calculation step includes the use of the sum of said weights in estimating the outcome.

8. A method according to claim 2 wherein, in the method of predicting the outcome of treatment,

the second table of the static data base also includes for individual DRGs one or more DRGs that are medically related thereto and which have higher Government assigned weights,

said method additionally comprising the steps of reading from the second table the related DRGs for each DRG into which a patient ICD code is mapped, and looking up in the first table the Government assigned weights for each of the related DRGs so read, and summing those read weights, and

further wherein the outcome prediction step includes the use of related DRG weight sum in predicting the outcome.

9. A method of monitoring the performance of a health provider in rendering medical services to a patient, comprising the steps of:

(1) for use with a system that estimates the amount of resources that are likely to be consumed to treat a specific patient illness by classifying the patient into one of a large number of categories of estimated resource consumption on the basis of input information that includes a principal diagnosis and/or a surgical procedure performed or to be performed, any secondary diagnoses, the patient's age and sex, a method of more accurately estimating an outcome of treatment of the patient by a health provider within said one category, comprising the following steps executed on a computer:

determining a category for each of a plurality of diagnoses and/or procedures of the input information as if it was the only diagnosis or procedure to be considered, and noting the resource estimate for each such category,

determining from said input information a plurality of other quantities relating to the patient's condition, and

calculating a refined resource estimate within the determined one category by solving an algebraic equation that combines the noted category resource estimates and the other quantities derived from the input information after multiplication by a plurality of constants, said constants having been derived by statistical analysis of a large amount of actual data of input information and the resources consumed by patients classified in said one category by use of said algebraic equation;

(2) comparing said calculated resource estimate with the amount of resources actually used;

(3) monitoring the performance of health providers through use of said comparison; and

(4) providing counseling to said health provider if the performance level of the health provider falls below an established level.

10. The method according to claim 9 wherein the step of determining a category includes doing so for each of the diagnoses in said input information but not for any surgical procedures therein.

11. The method according to claim 9 wherein the step of determining a category includes doing so for each of the principal and secondary diagnoses and surgical procedures in said input information.

12. The method according to claim 9 wherein the step of determining other quantities includes calculating by said computer the following from the input information:

a total of the number of different diagnoses,

a total number of any surgical procedures performed or to be performed, and

a number of different body systems involved as a result of the patient's illness.

13. A method of monitoring the performance of a health provider in rendering medical services to a patient, comprising the steps of:

(1) for use with a system that estimates the amount of resources that are likely to be consumed to treat a specific patient illness by classifying the patient into one of a large number of categories of estimated resource consumption on the basis of input information that includes a principal diagnosis and/or a surgical procedure performed or to be performed, any secondary diagnoses, the patient's age and sex, a method of forecasting an outcome of treatment of the patient by a health provider, comprising the following steps executed on a computer:

determining a plurality of quantities relating to the patient's illness, such a determination being made only from (A) the input information about the patient and the patient's illness that is used to determine said one category, and (B) a static database including but not limited to information about the categories, diagnoses, procedures and category estimated resource consumption, and

calculating a refined resource estimate within the determined one category by solving an algebraic equation that combines said plurality of quantities after multiplication by a plurality of constants, said constants having been derived from use of said algebraic equation by statistical analysis of a large amount of actual data of input information and the resources consumed by patients classified in said one category;

(2) comparing said calculated resource estimate with the amount of resources actually used;

(3) monitoring the performance of health providers through use of said comparison; and

(4) providing counseling to said health provider if the performance level of the health provider falls below an established level.

14. The method according to any of claims 9-13, inclusive, wherein said diagnoses and surgical procedures are expressed as ICD codes, said categories are diagnostic related groups (DRGs) of a health care reimbursement system, and the category resource estimates are Government designated weights of the individual DRGs.

15. A method of monitoring the performance of a health provider in rendering medical services to a given patient from patient information including illness diagnoses, surgical procedures performed or to be performed, if any, age and sex, comprising the steps of:

establishing on a computer a mathematical relationship of said treatment outcome with a plurality of variables developed from said patient information,

inputing to the computer data including said information and resulting treatment outcomes for a large population of actual patients,

utilizing the mathematical relationship to determine by calculations with the computer a set of elements in the mathematical relationship from said actual patient data which minimize differences between the actual outcomes and those calculated by said mathematical relationship from the actual patient information,

forming by calculation on the computer the mathematical relationship variables from said given patient information,

solving on the computer said mathematical relationship with said given patient variables and said determined set of elements, thereby to provide a prediction of the outcome of treatment for said given patient;

comparing said predicted outcome with the actual outcome of patient treatment;

monitoring the performance of health providers through use of said comparison; and

providing counseling to said health provider if the performance level of the health provider falls below an established level.

16. A method according to claim 15 wherein the outcome of treatment includes the level of resources expended in providing patient treatment.

17. A method according to claim 15 wherein the step of forming the variables includes the steps of forming from said patient information at least a first variable that is proportional to the total number of said diagnoses, and a second variable that is proportional to the total number of said surgical procedures performed or to be performed.

18. A method according to claim 15 wherein the step of forming the variables includes the step of forming a variable that is proportional to a sum of relative weights of groups of the diagnoses and/or procedures.

19. A method according to claim 15 wherein the step of establishing a mathematical relationship includes the steps of establishing a plurality of constants as said elements, and obtaining mathematical products of one or more of said variables by one of said constants, and then summing the products in order to obtain the outcome.

20. A method according to any one of claims 15-19 wherein the step of forming the mathematical relationship variables includes doing so only from patient information of illness diagnoses, surgical procedures performed or to be performed, if any, age and sex.

21. A method of monitoring the performance of a health provider in rendering medical services to a patient from patient information including illness diagnoses, surgical procedures performed or to be performed, if any, age and sex, comprising the steps of:

(1) in a computer system that includes means for mapping a medical patient's condition and/or treatment into a single group of related diagnoses and/or procedures from information of the patient that includes a principal diagnosis code, one or more surgical procedure codes, if any, one or more secondary diagnosis codes, if any, the patient's age, and the patient's sex, a method of predicting an outcome of treatment of the patient by a health provider by use of said computer system, comprising the steps of;

calculating a plurality of variables from said patient information, and

mathematically combining said variables with the use of a plurality of constants that have been determined by statistical analysis of data from an actual patient population within said single group of related diagnoses and/or procedures, thereby to predict an outcome of treatment of the patient;

(2) comparing said predicted outcome with the actual outcome of patient treatment;

(3) monitoring the performance of health providers through use of said comparison; and

(4) providing counseling to said health provider if the performance level of the health provider falls below an established level.

22. A method according to claim 21 wherein the outcome of treatment includes an indication of the level of resources expended in providing patient treatment.

23. A method according to claim 21 wherein the step of calculating a plurality of variables includes the steps of forming from said patient information at least a first variable that is proportional to the total number of said diagnoses, and a second variable that is proportional to the total number of said surgical procedures performed or to be performed, if any.

24. A method according to claim 21 wherein the step of calculating a plurality of variables includes the step of forming a variable that is proportional to a sum of relative weights of various groups of related diagnoses and/or procedures into which the diagnoses and/or procedures individually map.

25. A method according to claim 21 wherein the step of mathematically combining the variables includes obtaining a plurality of mathematical products of one or more of said variables by one of said constants, and then summing the products in order to obtain the outcome.

26. A method according to claim 21 wherein the steps of predicting of the outcome of treatment comprise the additional step of classifying the predicted outcome within one of a plurality of sub-categories within the determined single group of related diagnoses and/or procedures.

27. A method according to any one of claims 21-26 wherein the step of forming the mathematical relationship variables includes doing so only from patient information of illness diagnoses, surgical procedures performed or to be performed, if any, age and sex.
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BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

This invention relates generally to the identification of quality and cost efficient medical providers, and specifically to computer software techniques and systems for estimating what the cost to treat a patient should be, based upon the condition of the patient and to the extent that any treatments or procedures impact the patient's health status.

Due to the geometric escalation of medical care costs, there is increased pressure on public policy makers to establish cost containment programs. For this reason state and Federal governments are beginning to adopt various case specific or case-mix reimbursement systems. The Social Security Amendments of 1983, (Public Law 98-21), introduced a diagnosis specific prospective payment system that has been incorporated into the Medicare reimbursement policies. Under this system, the amount of payment for a patient hospital stay is determined by a one of hundreds of government defined Diagnostic Related Groups ("DRGs") into which the patient stay is categorized based upon diagnoses and procedures performed. Hospitals are reimbursed according to a fixed schedule without regard to actual costs to the hospital in rendering medical services to the patient. It is expected that this same reimbursement policy will in time be extended to establish the level of reimbursement to other health care providers and/or from other government entities and insurers.

The DRGs represent a statistical, clinical classification effort to group together those diagnoses and procedures which are clinically related and have similar resource consumption. A DRG that is appropriate for a given hospital stay is selected, under the reimbursement system, by a particular set of patient attributes which include a principal illness diagnosis, specific secondary diagnoses, procedures performed, age, sex and discharge status (i.e., how the patient left the hospital, whether the patient was transferred, died, etc.). The principal diagnosis is that which caused the patient to be hospitalized, even though the patient may have even more serious problems, as would be indicated by secondary diagnoses. If a surgical procedure is performed, the DRG is determined primarily by that procedure. If no procedure is performed, the DRG is determined primarily by the principal diagnosis. The treatment of a patient during a single hospital stay is classified in only one DRG.

As shown in the few examples of DRGs given in Table I attached hereto, a fixed reimbursement factor (relative weight) is assigned to each DRG by the government. This determines the amount the hospital will be reimbursed for treatment of a patient that falls within the DRG, regardless of the hospital's cost or what the charges would have been for a non-Medicare patient. The more complex diagnoses or procedures that typically consume more resources should result in a higher paying DRG. (See the different relative weights in the example DRG's of Table I.) In addition to the reimbursement factor, each DRG has an average length of stay (LOS) in days assigned as another measure of the consumption of resources that is expected to treat a patient whose attributes cause that particular DRG to be selected.

There are currently 473 DRGs which cover all patients treated under inpatient conditions. These are set forth in the regulations of the Health Care Financing Administration. The example DRGs of Table I attached hereto are taken from those regulations. Since adoption of the system, regulations have been issued annually that make some changes in classification details to take into account experience under the system.

Under the current version of this reimbursement system, the hospital does not directly determine the appropriate DRG category for services rendered a Medicare patient. Rather, the hospital submits an appropriate Federal form (currently form UB-82) after discharge of the patient, which includes codes from a standard coding system to identify the primary and secondary diagnoses made, and any procedures performed, and gives patient information that is relevant to determining the appropriate DRG category, such as age and sex. As an alternate to using such a form, the coded information can be submitted on magnetic media, such as tape, in computer readable form. From this information, an intermediary reimbursing agent, or the Health Care Finance Administration itself, determines the proper DRG, and thus the amount of reimbursement.

The commonly used notation "ICD-9-CM" means the International Classification of Diseases--9th Revision, Clinical Modification, and refers to a coding system based on and compatible with the original international version of the ICD-9 coding system provided by the World Health Organization. The ICD-9-CM coding system is used in North America, and it is a classification of diseases, injuries, impairments, symptoms, medical procedures and causes of death. These codes are listed in detail in a publication of the Commission on Professional and Hospital Activities, Ann Arbor, Michigan, entitled "ICD-9-CM", Jan. 1, 1979. It is likely that the classification system will be revised and a 10th revision forthcoming within a few years. The techniques being described herein are not limited to a particular version of the ICD diagnosis and procedure classification system but rather will use whatever system is current at the time. As a shorthand reference to that system, the term "ICD" will be used hereinafter, unless a specific version is being discussed as an example.

The ICD coding system was designed for the classification of morbidity and mortality information for statistical purposes and for the indexing of hospital records by disease and operations for data storage and retrieval. The ICD codes are initially divided into Disease and Procedure sections. These sections are further divided into subsections which encompass anywhere from 1-999 three digit disease or 1-99 two digit procedure code categories. Within the three digit code categories there can be an additional 1 or 2 decimal digits to divide the codes into subcategories which further define the disease manifestations and/or diagnostic procedures. There are approximately 15,000 ICD codes. Only a portion of these are relevant for determining Medicare payments. The DRG Medicare payment system first involves the coding of diagnostic and procedural information into ICD code numbers by hospital medical records clerks before a patient can be assigned a DRG.

Each DRG is determined in part by an ICD code for the principal diagnosis, and ICD codes for each procedure that may have been performed. There are also ICD codes for identifying complications occurring during treatment, and the existence of any co-morbidities (i.e., secondary diagnoses of conditions other than the principal disease existing at the time of admission). These, as well as the patient's age, sex, and discharge status, determine a particular DRG for the patient.

It is possible that a large number of sets of ICD numbers or codes can lead to the same DRG. Table II attached hereto lists the ICD-9-CM codes that currently fall within each of a few of the DRGs that are used as examples in Table I. The existence of any one operative surgical procedure ICD-9-CM code listed under DRG 261, for example, will cause that DRG to be selected. The remaining DRG examples of Table II (numbers 31, 32 and 33) each have the same list of ICD-9-CM codes that will cause a DRG to be selected. A single one of these related DRGs is then selected based upon the age of the patient and whether there exists any complication or co-morbidity (referred to together as a "C.C." in the DRG definitions) as evidenced by an appropriate secondary diagnosis ICD-9-CM code.

A patient's age is a part of the definition of many of the DRG categories, as shown by the examples of Tables I and II. Pediatric patients (age 17 or less) and elderly patients (age 70 years or more) often fall into separate DRG categories that otherwise have the same textual definition. Where this occurs, the hospital is paid more for treatment of the older patient by assigning a higher paying DRG.

Also, the presence of a complication or comorbidity (C.C.) with a patient is a part of the definition of many DRGs. A patient with a complication or comorbidity is considered to be a sicker person for certain illnesses than one without a C.C. and the hospital is reimbursed more for those illnesses by classifying such a patient in a higher paying DRG. However, not all medically recognized complications or comorbidities are recognized by the DRG reimbursement system to have any effect on the payment to be made. The DRG Medicare system currently specifies about 3000 of the approximately 15,000 ICD-9-CM codes as effective to establish a C.C. and thus provide higher reimbursement. That is, if any one of these approximately 3000 ICD-9-CM codes appear as a secondary diagnosis on the patient discharge information, a C.C. is deemed to exist. Thus, if the patient is otherwise classified into a family of DRGs where the existence of a C.C. makes a difference, the higher paying DRG is selected from the family. For example, with regard to the family of DRGs 31, 32 and 33 of Tables I and II which have the same lists of principal diagnoses ICD-9-CM codes, both the patients age and the existence or non-existence of a C.C. determines which of the three DRG categories is selected for reimbursement purposes. It should be noted that the relative weight and mean length of stay (LOS) definitions of those three DRGs vary widely.

The actual reimbursement that a hospital receives for each patient involves the multiplication of the relative weight of the DRG (see Table I) with other factors set by the Federal government. These other factors are determined by statistical variables (e.g. cost data of that particular hospital for a period, the type of patients a hospital treats in relation to the hospital's resources expended for those patients, and the wage and cost of living index).

Computer software is available for calculating the appropriate DRG from the input codes that are provided by the hospital. A DRG Grouper System converts the ICD codes of a patient's stay, along with the other DRG related factors (age, sex, discharge status), are mapped into the corresponding DRG category. This is public information that is available at cost. One company manufacturing an enhanced DRG Grouper is the DRG Support Group, Ltd., a subsidiary of Health Systems International, Inc.

Because such a large proportion of hospital patients fall under the Medicare system (40% or more of the patients of some hospitals), the DRG system is extensively used. It is natural, therefore, that the system would also be used for health care management and evaluation purposes. However, it is widely recognized that the grouping of patients resulting from use of the DRG system does not have as high a degree of homogeneity as is statistically desirable. That is, the resource consumption of a population of patients, who all are classified into a single DRG, varies widely. The statistical deviation from the single mean length of stay (LOS) for most of the DRGs is large, apparently because the overall level of sickness of the patients so grouped varies widely. The sicker patients require more hospital resources to be devoted to them but the DRG Medicare system considers this only to a limited extent by selecting a DRG primarily from only a single principal diagnosis made or surgical procedure performed.

As a result, there have been many suggestions for refining the DRG system, or to go to a different system, in order to result in a more homogeneous grouping of patients. The reasons for doing so include the need to have data for monitoring hospital and physician performance, as well as improving the reimbursement system itself. The suggested approaches include many different ways to measure how sick a patient really is.

The primary variable in any patient population which must be taken into account before either mortality and morbidity rates or resource consumption can be addressed is that of the patient diagnosis. If a physician is asked to predict the mortality rate of a group of patients, the first question he or she will ask is "What is the diagnosis?". The expected mortality rates between a fractured wrist and cerebrovascular accident (stroke) are very different. The DRGs are a very adequate way of subdividing the patients on the basis of their diagnoses.

The second and crucial variable is that of the severity of the patient's illness within each of the various diagnoses. An example is that some myocardial infarctions (heart attacks) are fatal, and some go completely unnoticed by the patient, representing a wide variation in severity. The DRGs do not have the ability to adequately determine the acuity (severity) of the patient's illness within the diagnostic categories.

It is a primary object of this invention to provide a computer based technique and system for estimating the severity of patients' illnesses from hospital discharge data and other medical information, and for estimating the resources likely to be consumed in the course of providing medical service to patients, all with improved accuracy and convenience.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

This and additional objects are accomplished by the present invention wherein, briefly and generally, in a specific form, a computer system is provided for calculating the severity of patients' illnesses and thereby providing an estimate of resource consumption from the same information that is used as a basis for determining the DRG. This has a significant advantage in that the necessary data is readily available in a form to be directly used in making the estimate, often stored on computer magnetic media so that it can be fed directly into a computer making the estimate, perhaps even the same computer that is determining the appropriate DRG. In a preferred embodiment of the invention, no further information about the patient and his or her condition is required. Hidden clinical information is extracted by the resource estimating system from the ICD codes and other available input data in order to make an estimate. This input data is combined by the computer according to a formula (a linear equation, in a preferred embodiment) that includes a set of constants that exist in a static data base for each DRG included in the system. Variables of the formula can include, for example, the number of different ICD codes (particularly any secondary diagnosis codes) specified by the health provider to describe the condition of patient during a particular hospitalization, a sum of the Government weights for each of the DRGs into which the ICD codes (particularly the diagnosis codes) are mapped, and a sum of relative weights assigned to certain ICD codes that, when specified as secondary diagnosis, indicate a sicker patient than is communicated by the principle diagnosis code alone.

A set of such constants is determined for a given DRG by a process of statistically analyzing a set of actual patient data for that DRG by use of the same formula. The variables of the formula, including outcome, specific diagnoses codes, etc., are in this case known for each actual patient. In effect, a separate formula is established for each such patient record. A statistical computer program then determines a set of constants for use in the formula for the given DRG which minimizes variances between the actual known outcomes and those estimated by use of the formula.

In a preferred form, the estimated outcome is expressed in one of several categories (such as categories 1 through 5) for the DRG that has been determined for the patient, and represents a much more homogeneous grouping of patients than is provided by the DRG categories themselves, because it is based upon various levels of illness severity within each diagnosis. Because physician and hospital providers can then be compared on the basis of a homogeneous patient population, it becomes possible to identify those providers whose practice patterns are of the highest quality and most cost efficient.

There are two primary applications for such a system other than to objectively calculate the amount of payment to the health provider. One is a retrospective: the cost performance of a physician, hospital, or expense of an insurance plan, for example, can be compared to the estimate for one, a few, or a large number of patients. That is, a set of actual costs incurred are compared with the estimates. This is quite a useful tool since the estimates are made by formulas whose constants have been calculated from a large amount of actual patient data.

The other primary application is concurrent: the expected cost of treating a patient may be determined upon admission of the patient to the hospital from the initial diagnosis and expected procedures. Any problem cases identified by such estimates can then be managed more intensively than others. Further, any changes occurring during the hospital stay, primarily the addition or change of any of the secondary diagnosis data, can evidence missed or erroneous initial diagnoses or complications caused by disease progression or improper treatment, thus providing a tool for monitoring hospital and/or physician performance.

Additional objectives, features and advantages of the various aspects of the present invention will become apparent from the following description of its preferred embodiment, which description should be read in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 is a curve that illustrates the distribution of costs in treating patients who all are classified into the same DRG;

FIG. 2 is a curve that illustrates the further classification that results from the techniques of the present invention;

FIG. 3 shows a block diagram of a typical computer system that may be utilized to practice the present invention;

FIG. 4 is a flow diagram that shows the general operation of public domain software that determines the appropriate DRG for the purpose of reimbursing a health provider for services to a particular patient;

FIG. 5 is a flow diagram of a computer program which operates w the computer system of FIG. 3 in carrying out various aspects of the present invention, according to a first example;

FIGS. 6-8 provide a flow diagram of a computer program which operates with the computer system of FIG. 3 in carrying out various aspects of the present invention, according to a second example; and

FIGS. 9-11 illustrate a portion of the process for calculating the value of constants used in the computer program examples of FIGS. 5-8, according to another aspect of the present invention.

DESCRIPTION OF THE PREFERRED EMBODIMENTS

General Discussion of the Invention

The non-severity adjusted, and therefore non-homogeneous grouping of patients, that results in many Diagnostic Related Groups (DRGs) of the DRG Medicare reimbursement system is illustrated in FIG. 1. The number of patients classified in a single DRG is plotted against their actual resource consumption incurred in treatment, in terms of charges or mean length of stay (LOS) of the patient in the hospital. The fact that the distribution deviates significantly from the single mean LOS used in the DRG system as a basis for payments shows the need to modify the system when a high degree of certainty in estimates of resources consumed is required.

Therefore, according to the present invention, a sub-category of resource consumption is calculated in addition to determining a DRG by the usual method. This sub-category, referred to herein as the "acuity index", is calculated from the same information used to determine the DRG, as described in detail later in this description. Hidden clinical information of the overall level of sickness of a patient, not now used by the DRG system, is extracted from input data common to the DRG system. By using the same input data, a simplicity in implementation results. By expressing the result of an acuity index within the DRG system, there is conformity with a system familiar to health care professionals.

FIG. 2 shows an idealized plot of actual resource consumption for a given patient population in a single DRG versus resource consumption that is estimated (predicted) by the techniques of the present invention. Rather than give as a result the estimated LOS or other quantitative indication of resource consumption, the estimated resources are expressed as falling within one of five acuity indices for that particular DRG. Acuity index number 1 includes the patients requiring the lowest amount of resources within the given DRG. Acuity index number 5 includes the patients with the highest estimated resource consumption. Acuity index number 3 generally includes the government calculated mean LOS within it. Of course, the exact number of sub-groups selected for use in any system depends upon its specific application.

Before describing the method of determining the acuity index for any given patient, a computer system used to calculate both the DRG and acuity index for a patient is outlined. Referring to FIG. 3, the main components of a computer system that is suitable for implementing the various aspects of the present invention is shown. Connected to a common computer bus 11, are several operational units that form the computer system. These are a central processing unit (CPU) 13, a main R.A.M. memory 15, a disc drive 17, a printer 19, and an entry keyboard and CRT terminal 21. A second such terminal 23, and perhaps even additional terminals, can be provided as desired. A modem 25 is optionally provided to add a communication capability.

A principal magnetic disc data file that is part of the system of FIG. 1 is that containing information of all the DRGs. It is accessible by the disc drive 17. The DRG file is a static computer database having one record for each DRG number. Table I shows seven fields of information for each of the example DRGs given. This information is that published as part of the Federal regulations. The first stored item of information is the DRG number, some unique number between 1 and 473. The next item of information, shown in the second column of Table I, is the Major Diagnostic Category (MDC) in which the individual DRG falls. The 473 specific DRGs are grouped by the Federal regulations into 23 MDCs of related DRGs. Each MDC is defined to include the DRG's directed to matters of a different body system than the others

The third column of Table I identifies the sex of the patient for which the individual DRGs are appropriate. A "B" means the DRG is appropriate for both sexes, a "F" for female only, and a "M" for male only. This field is compared with the sex of the patient to check for an erroneous DRG determination.

The fourth item of information for each DRG maintained in the static DRG database is shown in the third column of Table I, namely the title or textual description of the DRG. What is shown in Table I are all of the items published in the Federal Register. It will be noticed that the textual descriptions are very brief, so it may be desirable to expand that description into medically relevant terminology for the purpose of the DRG database herein.

The fifth data field, shown in the fifth column of Table I, is a relative weight for each DRG. As discussed above, this determines the amount of compensation that is given a hospital for treating a patient whose diagnosis and/or procedures cause a particular DRG to be designated.

The same is true for each of the last two items of Table I. The column "Mean LOS" is a calculated average length of stay for a patient within the DRG. The "Outlier Cutoffs" column carries information of a maximum length of stay in days that should be allowed. These last two items of information are desirably printed whenever information as to its DRG is printed in order to provide hospital staff with these guides, but they are not otherwise used in the computer system to be described.

It will be noted from the titles in Table I that some of the DRGs include an operative patient age range for their operation, and whether a C.C. (complication or co-morbidity) is required for that DRG to apply. The existence of a C.C. follows from a secondary diagnosis ICD code that is one of about 3000 put on a special list by the current Federal system as indicating a sicker patient that justifies higher compensation. Note from the titles of the DRGs in Table I that DRGs 34 and 35 have the same titles except for the reference to the patient's age and the existence of a C.C. A patient with a principal diagnosis that indicates "other disorders of the nervous system" will be classified into DRG 35 unless the patient is either over 69 years of age or has a C.C. If the patient is older than 69 or has a C.C., then DRG 34 is appropriate. Note that the relative weight and mean LOS of DRG 34 is greater than those of DRG 35. DRGs 34 and 35 are referred to as a "doublet" since they result from a common principal diagnosis; the appropriate DRG is then determined from the age and C.C. data.

DRGs 96, 97 and 98 are a "triplet" since they all deal with bronchitis and asthma, the particular DRG depending upon age and/or C.C. status. DRG 261 is given as an example of a single DRG that is applicable to a particular diagnosis and/or procedure. The patients age or C.C. status is not important for classification when such a DRG is the appropriate one.

The DRG table database is a static one and the same for all hospitals. For the computer system to operate, certain information of the patient is also required, primarily his or her age and sex. This information can be entered directly when the computer system is being operated, or, preferably, is maintained in a dynamic cur